BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON ESPN 1 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

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This weekend, we’ve got a 13-fight PPV card in Phoenix, Arizona. This is the first ever UFC on large ESPN card and DK has some decent contests for us for this Sunday card. The main GPP is that a $10 buy-in and $20k belongs to 1st place, and there will be $100k in total prizes. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There’ll be 100 qualifiers for this final contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and that $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that match. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those too hard. I will probably stick to the top GPP this week and throw 50 or so entries at that $20k decoration. I’ll also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs through the week to get a good quantity of drama into cash games. With that said, let’s get into a few plays I like as well as my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Vicente Luque ($9,400)
Vicente Luque is the most powerful play on the slate, in my view. I believe he will be the better fighter anywhere this fight moves, and he should dominate. I enjoy locking that win in my money match and I think he’s a fantastic shot at getting 10x his $9.4additional salary. I do expect him to become hot in tournaments so if you would like to fade the possession there and try to become contrarian, I would definitely need some Luque investment in money games. Barberena is tough so that he can continue all 3 rounds and when he does then Luque could score from the 80s which won’t win any GPPs. However, we can work with an ~80-point win in money games because we only have to beat half the area unlike the tournaments.
GPP play of the week — Cain Velasquez ($9,000)
Cain Velasquez is my GPP drama of the week due to the odds. A bit over a week ago he had been a -255 favorite and that’s what led to his elevated $95 price tag. Now he is only -155 and the worth is on Ngannou in his $7.2k price tag. I anticipate Ngannou to be the highest owned fighter on the card and if Cain wins then he’ll kill off near half the field. Also, if Cain wins he is probably scoring over 100-points. I expect his possession to go down the longer his gambling line decreases and that’s what makes him a fantastic GPP play. He’s a 0-point flooring, therefore that I don’t care for him in cash game, but for GPPs we need boom or float to attempt to get to this 1st place prize.
Underdog play of the week — Andre Fili ($7,400)
Andre Fili is my favourite dog of the week. He is $1,400 cheaper than Myles Jury on DraftKings, but he is only a +125 underdog. I think he has a fantastic shot of winning this fight and I am choosing him to receive his hands raised. I anticipate this to be a very close fight, but I think Fili is going to be the fighter striking in the greater rate and that is what I believe gets it done for him on the judges’ scorecards. I don’t see Fili having 100+ stage upside but we do not really require that at his $7.4k price tag. I think he’s a good shot at getting at least 10x, so he’s playable in most formats for me personally.
Fade of the week — Andrea Lee ($8,900)
Andrea Lee is my fade of this week. Not because I believe she will lose, but I think have a hard time seeing her on the $20k lineup at her salary. I enjoy the $9k range much greater than her and all of them have higher ceilings using their grappling-based match plans. Andrea Lee scored well within her UFC introduction, but that is because she did utilize grappling there. I really don’t see her doing this in this game because I think Evans-Smith has got the edge on the ground and she should be the one looking for takedowns. If Lee will win this battle, then she’s going to need to get it done on the toes and I really don’t see her having a high ceiling without a finish. The only reason to use her is because she will be super low possessed, and it’ll create your lineup , but I wouldn’t advise it.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every fight about the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are available at that link too. I am 57-34 for +188.13u (+$18,813) since May 19th on Premium Plays)

Read more: thelittlebrotherblog.com

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Diposting pada 31 August 2019 - Oleh dian - Kategori Bali & NTB.
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